ArCS 北極域研究推進プロジェクト

成果発表リスト

成果発表リスト
国際共同研究推進:テーマ5

北極気候変動予測研究

平成27年度

論文発表学会発表アウトリーチ、出版物、取材等その他

本一覧は平成28年3月31日現在の情報による

論文発表
査読あり

Day, J. J., S. Tietsche, M. Collins, H. F. Goessling, V. Guemas, A. Guillory, W. J. Hurlin, M. Ishii, S. P. E. Keeley, D. Matei, R. Msadek, M. Sigmond, H. Tatebe, and E. Hawkin, The Arctic Predictability and Prediction on Seasonal-to-Interannual TimEscales (APPOSITE) data set, Geosci . Model Dev. Discuss., 8, 8809-8833, doi:10.5194/gmdd-8-8809-2015, 2015.

Matsumura, Y., Ohshima, K.I., Lagrangian modelling of frazil ice in the ocean, Ann. Glaciol.,56, 373-382,doi:10.3189/2015AoG69A657, 2015.

Erdenebat, E., and T. Sato, Recent increase in heat wave frequency around Mongolia: role of atmospheric forcing and possible influence of soilmoisture deficit, Atmos. Sci. Lett.,17, 135-140, doi:10.1002/asl.616, 2016.

Kawasaki, T., Hasumi, H., The inflow of Atlantic water at the Fram Strait and itsinterannual variability, J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 121, 502-519, doi:10.1002/2015JC011375, 2016.

Ogi, M., B. Taguchi, M. Honda, D. G. Barber, and S. Rysgaad, Summer-to-winter sea-ice linkage between the Arctic Ocean and the Okhotsk Seathrough atmospheric circulation, J. Climate, 28, 4971-4979, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00125.1, 2016.

Nakamura, T., K. Yamazaki, K. Iwamoto, M. Honda, Y. Miyoshi, Y. Ogawa, Y. Tomikawa, andJ. Ukita, The stratospheric pathwayfor Arctic impacts on mid-latitude climate,Geophys. Res. Lett. (accepted)

Newman, M., M. A. Alexander, T. R. Ault, K. M. Cobb, C. Deser, E. Di Lorenzo, N. J. Mantua, A. J. Miller, S. Minobe, H. Nakamura, N. Schneider, D.J. Vimont, A. S. Phillips, J. D. Scott and C. A. Smith, The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, revisited, J. Climate. (accepted)

Kosaka, Y., and S.-P. Xie, Tropical Pacific variability as key pacemaker of the global warming staircase, Nature Geosci.(submitted)

Tanaka, S., K. Nishii and H. Nakamura, Vertical structure and energetics of the Western Pacific teleconnection pattern, J. Climate. (submitted)

Wang, C.-Y., S.-P. Xie, Y. Kosaka, Q. Liu and X.-T. Zheng, Global influence of tropical Pacific variability related to global warming hiatus, J. Climate. (submitted)

Abe-Ouchi A, Saito F, Kageyama M, Braconnot P, Harrison SP, Lambeck K, Otto-BliesnerBL, Peltier WR, Tarasov L, Peterschmitt JY, and Takahashi K, Ice-sheet configuration in the CMIP5/PMIP3 Last Glacial Maximum experiments. Geosci. Model Dev., 8,3621-3637, 2015.

Ono J, Inoue J, Yamazaki A, Dethloff K, and Yamaguchi H, The impact of radiosonde data on forecasting sea-ice distribution along the Northern SeaRoute during an extremely developed cyclone. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 8, doi:10.1002/2015MS000552, 2016.

Saito F, Abe-Ouchi A, Takahashi K, and Blatter H, SeaRISE experiment revisited: Potential Sources of Spread in Multi-modelProjections of the Greenland Ice-Sheet. The Cryosphere, 10(1), 43-63, 2016.

Chikamoto MO, Timmermann A, Yoshimori M, Lehner F, Laurian A, Abe-Ouchi A, MouchetA, Joos F, Raible CC, and Cobb KM, Intensification of tropicalPacific biological productivity due to volcanic eruptions. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 1184-1192, 2016.

De Silva LWA, Yamaguchi H, and Ono J, Ice-ocean coupled computations for sea-ice prediction to support ice navigation in Arctic sea routes. Polar Research, 34, 25008, http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/polar.v34.25008, 2015.

Dolan AM, Hunter SJ, Hill DJ, Haywood AM, Koenig SJ, Otto-Bliesner BL, Abe-Ouchi A, Bragg F, Chan WL, Chandler MA, Contoux C, Jost A, Kamae Y,Lohmann G, Lunt DJ,Ramstein G, Rosenbloom NA, Sohl L, Stepanek C, Ueda H, Yan Q, and Zhang Z, Using results from the PlioMIP ensemble to investigate theGreenland Ice Sheet during the mid-Pliocene Warm Period. Climate of the Past, 11, 403-424, 2015.

Haywood AM, Dowsett HJ, Dolan AM, Rowley D, Abe-Ouchi A, Otto-Bliesner B, Chandler MA, Hunter SJ, Lunt DJ, Pound M, and Salzmann U. The PlioceneModelIntercomparison Project (PlioMIP) Phase 2: scientific objectives and experimental design. Clim. Past, 12, 663-675,2016.

Howell FW, Haywood AM, Otto-Bliesner BL, Bragg F, Chan WL, Chandler MA, Contoux C,Kamae Y, Abe-Ouchi A, Rosenbloom NA, Stepanek C, and Zhang Z,Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble. Clim. Past, 12, 749-767, 2016.

Imada Y, Tatebe H, Ishii M, Chikamoto Y, Mori M, Arai M, Watanabe M, and Kimoto M, Predictability of two types of El Niño assessed using anextended seasonal prediction system by MIROC, Monthly Weather Review, 143, 4597-4617, 2015.

Inoue J, Yamazaki A, Ono J, Dethloff K, Maturilli M, Neuber R, Edwards P, Yamaguchi H, Additional Arctic observations improve weather and sea-iceforecasts for the Northern Sea Route, Scientific Reports, 5, 16868, doi:10.1038/srep16868, 2015.

Laîné A, Yoshimori M, and Abe-Ouchi A, Surface Arctic Amplification Factors in CMIP5 Models: Land and Oceanic Surfaces, Seasonality. Journal of Climate, 29, 3297-3316, 2016.

Past Interglacials Working Group of PAGES, Interglacials of the last 800,000 years.Reviews of Geophysics, 54, 162-219, 2016.

Abe, M, Takata K, Kawamiya M, and Watanabe S, Future warming and snow albedo feedback trends in a boreal forest region of northern Eurasiaaccording to MIROC-ESM. J. Geophys Res. Atmosphere, 2016, (submitted).

Nowicki S, Payne T, Larour E, Seroussi H, Goelzer H, Lipscomb W, Gregory J, Abe-OuchiA, and Shepherd A, Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project(ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, (submitted).

査読なし
特になし
学会発表

Kosaka, Y., and S.-P. Xie, Hiatus and acceleration of surface global warming due to tropical Pacific decadal variability, Asian Conference on Meteorology 2015,Kyoto, Japan, October 26, 2015.

新田友子,芳村圭,阿部彩子、簡易湿地スキームを用いた大気陸面結合実験、日本気象学会秋季大会, 京都,2015年10月28日

西井和晃, 中村尚, 中村哲, オホーツク海海氷減少に対する大気応答, 日本気象学会秋季大会, 京都, 2015年10月29日

松村伸治, 堀之内武, 杉本志織, 佐藤友徳, 北西太平洋SST変動に対する梅雨降水帯の応答, 日本気象学会年秋季大会, 京都, 2015年10月30日

田村健太, 佐藤友徳, 領域気象モデルを用いた海面水温操作実験における冬季北海道西岸沖に発生するポーラーローの応答, 日本気象学会秋季大会, 京都, 2015年10月30日

Hoshi, K., J. Ukita, M. Honda, K. Iwamoto, T. Nakamura and K. Yamazaki, Deeper look at a stratospheric pathway of the Arctic-midlatitudesclimate linkage, Deutsch-JapanischerWorkshop, Potsdam, Germany, November 9, 2015.

Miyoshi, Y., Y. Tomikawa, T. Nakamura, K. Yamazaki, K. Iwamoto, M. Honda, J. Ukita, Y. Ogawa, Stratospheric variabilityassociated with Arctic sea ice loss, Deutsch-Japanischer Workshop, Potsdam, Germany, November 9, 2015.

Nakamura, T., K. Yamazaki, J. Ukita, A first result of AFES AMIP-type simulation for the recent past, Deutsch-Japanischer Workshop, Potsdam,Germany, November 9, 2015.

Ukita, J., M. Honda, K. Iwamoto, M. Kadono, Y. Harada and H. Kanzawa, Recent changes in the atmospheric energy transport of thenorthern high latitudes, Deutsch-Japanischer Workshop, Potsdam, Germany, November 9, 2015.

Ukita, J., Japanese Arctic research initiative from GRENE to ArCS (Phase II), Deutsch-Japanischer Workshop, Potsdam, Germany, November 9,2015.

Kosaka, Y., and S.-P. Xie, Acceleration and slowdown of surface global warming due to tropical Pacific natural variability, 8thInternational Workshop on Tropical Marine Environmental Changes, Guangzhou, China, November 14, 2015.

Ukita, J., The eddy heat flux as a key for better understanding of the Arctic climate system, The 6th symposium on Polar Science,Tachikawa, Japan, November 18, 2015.

Hasumi, H., Coordinated observational and modeling studies on the basic structure and variability of the Arctic sea ice-ocean system. The 6 th Symposium on Polar Sciences,Tachikawa, Japan, November 18, 2015.

Matsumura, Y., Ito, M. and Ohshima, K. I., Modeling sediment entrainment into newly formed sea ice, The 6th Symposium on PolarSciences, Tachikawa, Japan, November 19, 2015.

Ono, J., M. I. Nodzu, H. Tatebe, M. Ishii, and Y. Tanaka, Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Prediction System with the MIROC Climate Model, The 6th Symposium onPolar Science,Tachikawa, Japan, November 19, 2015.

Kawasaki, T., and H. Hasumi, A modeling study on the mechanism of Atlantic Water modification in the Barents Sea. The 6th Symposium onPolar Sciences, Tachikawa, Japan, November 19, 2015.

Kosaka, Y., and S.-P. Xie, Hiatus and acceleration of surface global warming due to tropical Pacific decadal variability, CLIVAR-ICTPInternational Workshop on Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenge and Opportunity, Trieste, Italy, November 19, 2015.

Satoh, M., High-resolution global nonhydrostatic simulations by NICAM using the K computer, SPNS2015: International Workshop on Software forPeta-Scale Numerical Simulation, Tokyo, Japan, December 3, 2015.

Misako H., K. Yoshimura, D. Yamazaki and T. Oki, A study on the impact of dynamic open water surfaces by river inundation in a global climatemodel, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, December 14-18, 2015.

Nitta, T., K. Yoshimura and A. Abe-Ouchi, On the impact of arctic wetlands on the climate system: Model sensitivity simulations with MIROC5 AGCMand the simplified wetland scheme, AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, December 14-18, 2015.

Sato T., and K. Mori, Role of snow cover on urban heat island intensity investigated by urban canopy model with snow effects, AGU Fall meeting,San Francisco, USA, December 16, 2015.

北野慈和, 山田朋人, 複数の低気圧から形成される爆弾低気圧の統計的解析, 土木学会北海道支部平成27年度年次技術発表会, 札幌, 2016年1月30日

竹内大輝,山田朋人,Y. N. Pokhrel, 人間活動を考慮した全球気候モデルによる灌漑農業が地表面の熱収支に与える影響, 土木学会北海道支部平成27年度年次技術発表会, 札幌, 2016年1月30日

布川敦士, 山田朋人, 大陸スケールにおける消雪日の空間分布および年々特性, 土木学会北海道支部平成27年度年次技術発表会, 札幌, 2016年1月30日

Kawasaki, T., and H. Hasumi, Interannual variability of Atlantic Water inflow and modification in the Barents Sea, Ocean Sciences Meeting, New Orleans, USA, February 22, 2016.

Hoshi, K., J. Ukita, M. Honda, K. Iwamoto, T. Nakamura and K. Yamazaki, Arctic sea ice reduction and stratosphere-troposphere coupling, The6th Symposium of Polar Research, Monbetsu, Japan, February 22, 2016.

Iwamoto, K. and J. Ukita, The eddy heat flux as a key for better understanding of the Arctic climate system, The 6th Symposium of Polar Research,Monbetsu, Japan, February 22, 2016.

Erdenebat, E. and T. Sato, Recent changes in heat wave over northeastern Eurasia and a possible contribution of spring soil moisture to subsequentsummer extremes, Theinternational science conference on MAHASRI, Tokyo, Japan, March 2, 2016.

Sato, T., E. Erdenebat, K. Tamura, S. Sugimoto, Multi-decadal regional climate experiments for understanding the roles of regional land-ocean-seaice distributions on atmospheric variations over North Asia, The international science conference on MAHASRI, Tokyo, Japan, March 3, 2016.

Takeuchi, D. and T. J. Yamada, Sub-seasonal predictability of water availability by using an AGCM with the representation of human impacts, TheInternational Science Conference on MAHASRI, The International Science Conference on MAHASRI, Tokyo, Japan, March 3, 2016.

鳩野美佐子, 芳村圭, 荒川隆, 山崎大, 沖大幹, 高解像度河川氾濫過程の導入が大気大循環モデルの推計値に及ぼす影響, 第60回水工学講演会, 仙台, 2016年3月15日

松村義正, 大橋良彦, 青木茂, 杉山慎, グリーンランド氷河融解水を起源とする高濁度水プルームのモデリング, 日本海洋学会春季大会, 東京, 2016年3月15日

Ono, J., H. Tatebe, M. Ishii, and M. I. Nodzu, Pan-Arctic sea-ice predictability with the MIROC climate model, The Joint US-Japan Workshop onClimate Change and Variability, San Diego, USA, March 21-22, 2016.

北野慈和, 山田朋人, 北日本を通過する爆弾低気圧と太平洋ブロッキングとの関係, 土木学会第60回水工学講演会, 仙台, 2016年3月14日

Abe-Ouchi A and others, How and when to terminate the Pleistocene ice ages?, 18 December 2015, AGU Fall Meeting2015, Moscone Center, SanFrancisco, US.

Abe-Ouchi A and others, Role of Stationary wave feedback in shaping the glacial ice sheets, 18 December 2015, AGU Fall Meeting2015, MosconeCenter, San Francisco, US.

Abe M, Takata K, Kawamiya M, and Watanabe S, Effect of snow-albedo feedback on future strong warming in boreal forest region of northern Eurasiain MIROC-ESM. 19 November 2015, The 6th Symposium on Polar Science, National Institute of Polar Research.

Ono J, Nodzu MI, Tatebe H, Ishii M, and Tanaka Y, Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Prediction System with the MIROC Climate Model. 19 November2015, The 6th Symposium on Polar Science, National Institute of Polar Research.

Ono J, Nodzu MI, Tatebe H, Ishii M, and Tanaka Y, Pan-Arctic sea-ice predictability with the MIROC climate model. 21-22 March, 2016,The Joint US-Japan Workshop on Climate Change and Variability, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego, US.

Saito F, Inclusion of an optimization of the basal sliding coefficients field and its impact on the simulated projection of Greenland ice sheet.13 March 2016, International Workshop on ``Greenland ice sheet mass loss and its impact on global climate change'', Institute of Low Temperature Science,Hokkaido University, Sapporo.

Tatebe H, Kosaka Y, Lestari K, and Imada Y, Slowdown and accelerations of surface global warming due to tropical Pacific internalvariablity: A multi-modelintercomparision. 20-23 October 2015, Workshop on CMIP5 model analysis and scientific plans for CMIP6, Dubrovnik, Republic ofCroatia.

阿部学, 高田久美子, 河宮未知生, 渡辺真吾, MIROC-ESMの将来予測実験におけるユーラシア北部 の春季気温上昇と積雪変化の関係, 2015年10月30日, 日本気象学会2015年秋季大会, 京都テルサ.

小野純, 北極域の予測可能性, 2015年12月10日, 北海道大学低温科学研究所共同利用研究集会「南北両極海における海洋・海氷の現場観測研究」, 札幌.

アウトリーチ、出版物、取材等

中村 尚,「『日本の四季』がなくなる日─連鎖する異常気象─」,小学館新書,2015年10月(書籍出版)

立花義裕, 気象学-災害大国日本における地学教育の重要性-, みえ防災コーディネーター育成講座, 2015年10月18日(講演).

佐藤正樹, 「THE SCIENCE 未来を予測する「天気予報」の仕組み」, 雑誌 Precio, 2015年11月号(取材)

本田明治, 長岡24時間で69センチ降雪 小さな低気圧次々通過, 新潟日報朝刊, 2016年1月28日(新聞報道).

浮田甚郎, 北極温暖化 日本に寒波, 共同通信配信(毎日、産経他13紙掲載), 2016年2月13日(新聞報道)

羽角博康, 「海と大気の明日と100年後」, 未来こどもがっこう, 2016年2月14日(小中学生向け授業)

本田明治, 変わる異常気象と地球温暖化, 平成27年度第4回公民館サイエンスカフェ, 2016年2月27日(講演)

小室芳樹, BlueEarth 141号,特集「計算科学で海洋地球環境の未来を解き明かせ!」内「北極域の気候・生態系・物質循環を精緻に数値モデル化し数十年先の北極環境の変化を予測する」, 国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, pp. 16-17, 2016年2月刊行.

その他
特になし